66% say whoever is Labour leader will make no difference to their vote
The first YouGov voting intention poll of the year, with a bumper sample of over 4000, shows voting intention standing at CON 40%, LAB 31%, LDEM 17%. On a uniform swing this would be a very close call between a hung Parliament and a wafer thin Conservative majority.
The poll was conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, so immediately before Patricia Hewitt and Geoff Hoon sparked a fresh round of leadership speculation. We also asked where people would be more likely to vote Labour if Gordon Brown remained their leader or if he was replaced. 16% of current Conservative voters and 27% of current Liberal Democrats said they would be more likely to switch to Labour if Gordon Brown was replaced (though of course, more likely is a long way short of saying they would definitely switch).
8% of people said David Miliband was the alternative leader most likely to make them vote Labour, followed by 5% for Jack Straw and 4% for Alan Johnson. 66% said whoever was Labour leader would make no difference to their vote.
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